Recent forecasts for Manila on September 20 indicate scattered thunderstorms and high humidity under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with model consensus pointing to daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection from tropical moisture typically suppress peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Historical September data show average highs around 31°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 29°C and 34°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of rainfall and steering winds, introducing genuine uncertainty around the daily maximum that will resolve with updated guidance from PAGASA and international ensembles in the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on September 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 20?
32°C 37%
33°C 37%
34°C 36%
35°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C
14%
32°C
37%
33°C
37%
34°C
36%
35°C
21%
36°C
16%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 37%
34°C 36%
35°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
9%
30°C
$2 Обс.
12%
31°C
$0 Обс.
14%
32°C
$0 Обс.
37%
33°C
$0 Обс.
37%
34°C
$0 Обс.
36%
35°C
$0 Обс.
21%
36°C
$0 Обс.
16%
37°C
$0 Обс.
4%
38°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 20 indicate scattered thunderstorms and high humidity under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with model consensus pointing to daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection from tropical moisture typically suppress peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Historical September data show average highs around 31°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 29°C and 34°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of rainfall and steering winds, introducing genuine uncertainty around the daily maximum that will resolve with updated guidance from PAGASA and international ensembles in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$2Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 20 indicate scattered thunderstorms and high humidity under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with model consensus pointing to daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection from tropical moisture typically suppress peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Historical September data show average highs around 31°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 29°C and 34°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of rainfall and steering winds, introducing genuine uncertainty around the daily maximum that will resolve with updated guidance from PAGASA and international ensembles in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila on September 20 indicate scattered thunderstorms and high humidity under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with model consensus pointing to daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection from tropical moisture typically suppress peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Historical September data show average highs around 31°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 29°C and 34°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of rainfall and steering winds, introducing genuine uncertainty around the daily maximum that will resolve with updated guidance from PAGASA and international ensembles in the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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