Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
28°C 53%
29°C 28%
27°C 14%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
53%
29°C
28%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
29°C 28%
27°C 14%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
$251 Обс.
1%
25°C
$356 Обс.
1%
26°C
$408 Обс.
3%
27°C
$699 Обс.
14%
28°C
$1,865 Обс.
53%
29°C
$1,657 Обс.
28%
30°C
$510 Обс.
4%
31°C
$269 Обс.
1%
32°C
$303 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$357 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$193 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,869Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,869Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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