**Recent high-pressure dominance over the northern East Sea has produced clear skies and strong diurnal temperature swings across the Korean Peninsula, setting up the closely matched market for Incheon’s September 18 minimum.** Official KMA aerodrome forecasts and global models (including Met Office and PredictWind) currently project an overnight low near 18°C, with radiative cooling under cloud-free conditions offset by light easterly flow that limits further drops. This places the outcome near the boundary between the 15°C-or-below and mid-range buckets, while the near-50% odds on 25°C-or-higher appear to reflect residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late advection of warmer maritime air. Historical mid-September climatology for Incheon shows typical minima of 17–19°C, underscoring how sensitive the exact low will be to small changes in wind speed or cloud cover over the next 48 hours. Updated KMA and NWP runs ahead of the 18th will likely resolve the split.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
21°C 19%
19°C 12%
22°C 11%
18°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
19%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 19%
19°C 12%
22°C 11%
18°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C
$0 Обс.
3%
17°C
$0 Обс.
6%
18°C
$0 Обс.
10%
19°C
$21 Обс.
22%
20°C
$21 Обс.
22%
21°C
$0 Обс.
19%
22°C
$0 Обс.
11%
23°C
$0 Обс.
3%
24°C
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-pressure dominance over the northern East Sea has produced clear skies and strong diurnal temperature swings across the Korean Peninsula, setting up the closely matched market for Incheon’s September 18 minimum.** Official KMA aerodrome forecasts and global models (including Met Office and PredictWind) currently project an overnight low near 18°C, with radiative cooling under cloud-free conditions offset by light easterly flow that limits further drops. This places the outcome near the boundary between the 15°C-or-below and mid-range buckets, while the near-50% odds on 25°C-or-higher appear to reflect residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late advection of warmer maritime air. Historical mid-September climatology for Incheon shows typical minima of 17–19°C, underscoring how sensitive the exact low will be to small changes in wind speed or cloud cover over the next 48 hours. Updated KMA and NWP runs ahead of the 18th will likely resolve the split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-pressure dominance over the northern East Sea has produced clear skies and strong diurnal temperature swings across the Korean Peninsula, setting up the closely matched market for Incheon’s September 18 minimum.** Official KMA aerodrome forecasts and global models (including Met Office and PredictWind) currently project an overnight low near 18°C, with radiative cooling under cloud-free conditions offset by light easterly flow that limits further drops. This places the outcome near the boundary between the 15°C-or-below and mid-range buckets, while the near-50% odds on 25°C-or-higher appear to reflect residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late advection of warmer maritime air. Historical mid-September climatology for Incheon shows typical minima of 17–19°C, underscoring how sensitive the exact low will be to small changes in wind speed or cloud cover over the next 48 hours. Updated KMA and NWP runs ahead of the 18th will likely resolve the split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent high-pressure dominance over the northern East Sea has produced clear skies and strong diurnal temperature swings across the Korean Peninsula, setting up the closely matched market for Incheon’s September 18 minimum.** Official KMA aerodrome forecasts and global models (including Met Office and PredictWind) currently project an overnight low near 18°C, with radiative cooling under cloud-free conditions offset by light easterly flow that limits further drops. This places the outcome near the boundary between the 15°C-or-below and mid-range buckets, while the near-50% odds on 25°C-or-higher appear to reflect residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling rates and any late advection of warmer maritime air. Historical mid-September climatology for Incheon shows typical minima of 17–19°C, underscoring how sensitive the exact low will be to small changes in wind speed or cloud cover over the next 48 hours. Updated KMA and NWP runs ahead of the 18th will likely resolve the split.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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