Strong consensus around a 16°C low for Seoul-Incheon on September 16 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model runs showing clear skies, light easterly winds under 10 km/h, and radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where minimums often settle near 15–18°C absent frontal passages or significant moisture. Hourly observations through the morning confirm temperatures bottoming near 16–17°C without dipping further. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering winds that reduces nocturnal cooling, potentially lifting the minimum by 1–2°C; conversely, any earlier arrival of drier continental air could push it slightly lower, though current guidance shows low probability of either shift before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
16°C 97%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C or below <1%
НОВЕ
$12,245 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,245 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C or below <1%
НОВЕ
$12,245 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,245 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$146 Обс.
1%
12°C
$156 Обс.
1%
13°C
$96 Обс.
1%
14°C
$149 Обс.
1%
15°C
$2,120 Обс.
6%
16°C
$2,857 Обс.
97%
17°C
$2,992 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,282 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,059 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$132 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,257 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around a 16°C low for Seoul-Incheon on September 16 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model runs showing clear skies, light easterly winds under 10 km/h, and radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where minimums often settle near 15–18°C absent frontal passages or significant moisture. Hourly observations through the morning confirm temperatures bottoming near 16–17°C without dipping further. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering winds that reduces nocturnal cooling, potentially lifting the minimum by 1–2°C; conversely, any earlier arrival of drier continental air could push it slightly lower, though current guidance shows low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,245Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around a 16°C low for Seoul-Incheon on September 16 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model runs showing clear skies, light easterly winds under 10 km/h, and radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where minimums often settle near 15–18°C absent frontal passages or significant moisture. Hourly observations through the morning confirm temperatures bottoming near 16–17°C without dipping further. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering winds that reduces nocturnal cooling, potentially lifting the minimum by 1–2°C; conversely, any earlier arrival of drier continental air could push it slightly lower, though current guidance shows low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,245Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Strong consensus around a 16°C low for Seoul-Incheon on September 16 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model runs showing clear skies, light easterly winds under 10 km/h, and radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where minimums often settle near 15–18°C absent frontal passages or significant moisture. Hourly observations through the morning confirm temperatures bottoming near 16–17°C without dipping further. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering winds that reduces nocturnal cooling, potentially lifting the minimum by 1–2°C; conversely, any earlier arrival of drier continental air could push it slightly lower, though current guidance shows low probability of either shift before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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