Recent model runs indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw from the southwest, bringing increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph by September 20. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures near 18–21 °C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance. Trader emphasis on 20–22 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in shower timing and exact cloud thickness, which could allow brief afternoon clearing to push readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 19 °C if persistent rain develops earlier. Historical September maxima in Warsaw average near 19 °C, providing context for the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 20?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 20?
21°C 39%
22°C 30%
20°C 23%
24°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
23%
21°C
39%
22°C
30%
23°C
16%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 39%
22°C 30%
20°C 23%
24°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$0 Обс.
4%
18°C
$0 Обс.
12%
19°C
$0 Обс.
6%
20°C
$0 Обс.
23%
21°C
$6 Обс.
39%
22°C
$158 Обс.
30%
23°C
$0 Обс.
16%
24°C
$0 Обс.
17%
25°C
$0 Обс.
5%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw from the southwest, bringing increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph by September 20. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures near 18–21 °C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance. Trader emphasis on 20–22 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in shower timing and exact cloud thickness, which could allow brief afternoon clearing to push readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 19 °C if persistent rain develops earlier. Historical September maxima in Warsaw average near 19 °C, providing context for the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$164Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw from the southwest, bringing increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph by September 20. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures near 18–21 °C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance. Trader emphasis on 20–22 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in shower timing and exact cloud thickness, which could allow brief afternoon clearing to push readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 19 °C if persistent rain develops earlier. Historical September maxima in Warsaw average near 19 °C, providing context for the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$164Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw from the southwest, bringing increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph by September 20. These conditions are expected to limit daytime solar heating and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures near 18–21 °C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance. Trader emphasis on 20–22 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in shower timing and exact cloud thickness, which could allow brief afternoon clearing to push readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 19 °C if persistent rain develops earlier. Historical September maxima in Warsaw average near 19 °C, providing context for the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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