Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a cooler, more stable air mass over the Front Range for September 20, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping highs near 70–74 °F. This setup, driven by weak upslope flow and lingering moisture from upstream systems, contrasts with the 77 °F climatological average and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 68–75 °F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact cloud timing, convective initiation, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on September 20?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 20?
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
68-69°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
5%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
11%
78°F or higher
6%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
68-69°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Обс.
5%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
5%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
5%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
9%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
37%
74-75°F
$32 Обс.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
11%
78°F or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a cooler, more stable air mass over the Front Range for September 20, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping highs near 70–74 °F. This setup, driven by weak upslope flow and lingering moisture from upstream systems, contrasts with the 77 °F climatological average and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 68–75 °F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact cloud timing, convective initiation, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$32Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a cooler, more stable air mass over the Front Range for September 20, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping highs near 70–74 °F. This setup, driven by weak upslope flow and lingering moisture from upstream systems, contrasts with the 77 °F climatological average and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 68–75 °F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact cloud timing, convective initiation, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$32Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a cooler, more stable air mass over the Front Range for September 20, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping highs near 70–74 °F. This setup, driven by weak upslope flow and lingering moisture from upstream systems, contrasts with the 77 °F climatological average and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 68–75 °F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact cloud timing, convective initiation, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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