**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's daily minimum temperature on September 20 centers on forecast uncertainty around 11–14 °C, where closely matched implied probabilities reflect divergent model runs for overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs show daytime maxima near 19–22 °C giving way to a minimum shaped by high humidity (65–75 %), 99 % cloud cover that limits long-wave heat loss, and modest winds around 10–18 km/h that reduce mixing. Pressure near 1018–1019 hPa supports stable conditions without strong cold advection, while scattered showers add evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2 °C from the low. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal; final station readings from IMGW or equivalent networks will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 20?
11°C or below 100%
12°C 50%
13°C 50%
15°C <1%
11°C or below
100%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
67%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
11°C or below 100%
12°C 50%
13°C 50%
15°C <1%
11°C or below
100%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
67%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's daily minimum temperature on September 20 centers on forecast uncertainty around 11–14 °C, where closely matched implied probabilities reflect divergent model runs for overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs show daytime maxima near 19–22 °C giving way to a minimum shaped by high humidity (65–75 %), 99 % cloud cover that limits long-wave heat loss, and modest winds around 10–18 km/h that reduce mixing. Pressure near 1018–1019 hPa supports stable conditions without strong cold advection, while scattered showers add evaporative cooling that can shave 1–2 °C from the low. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal; final station readings from IMGW or equivalent networks will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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