Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 22?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 22?
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 37%
94-95°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
9%
106°F or higher
6%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 37%
94-95°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
$0 Обс.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$24 Обс.
14%
92-93°F
$7 Обс.
11%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
37%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
37%
100-101°F
$0 Обс.
17%
102-103°F
$0 Обс.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Обс.
9%
106°F or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$31Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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