Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate a high probability of thunderstorms and showers over Guangzhou on September 22, 2026, driven by enhanced monsoon moisture and possible convective activity that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling during peak afternoon hours. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, with 35°C and 34°C leading at 28% and 23% implied probability, as lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming while heavier rain would cap readings nearer 31–33°C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average September temperatures offset by expected precipitation deficits, yet short-term model spread on timing and intensity sustains trader uncertainty ahead of updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 22?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 22?
34°C 23%
35°C 22%
31°C 16%
33°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
16%
32°C
14%
33°C
15%
34°C
23%
35°C
28%
36°C
11%
37°C or higher
15%
34°C 23%
35°C 22%
31°C 16%
33°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
27°C or below
$6 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
2%
30°C
$0 Обс.
15%
31°C
$0 Обс.
16%
32°C
$0 Обс.
14%
33°C
$0 Обс.
15%
34°C
$5 Обс.
23%
35°C
$24 Обс.
28%
36°C
$5 Обс.
11%
37°C or higher
$5 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate a high probability of thunderstorms and showers over Guangzhou on September 22, 2026, driven by enhanced monsoon moisture and possible convective activity that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling during peak afternoon hours. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, with 35°C and 34°C leading at 28% and 23% implied probability, as lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming while heavier rain would cap readings nearer 31–33°C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average September temperatures offset by expected precipitation deficits, yet short-term model spread on timing and intensity sustains trader uncertainty ahead of updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$45Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate a high probability of thunderstorms and showers over Guangzhou on September 22, 2026, driven by enhanced monsoon moisture and possible convective activity that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling during peak afternoon hours. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, with 35°C and 34°C leading at 28% and 23% implied probability, as lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming while heavier rain would cap readings nearer 31–33°C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average September temperatures offset by expected precipitation deficits, yet short-term model spread on timing and intensity sustains trader uncertainty ahead of updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$45Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate a high probability of thunderstorms and showers over Guangzhou on September 22, 2026, driven by enhanced monsoon moisture and possible convective activity that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling during peak afternoon hours. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, with 35°C and 34°C leading at 28% and 23% implied probability, as lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming while heavier rain would cap readings nearer 31–33°C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average September temperatures offset by expected precipitation deficits, yet short-term model spread on timing and intensity sustains trader uncertainty ahead of updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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