Recent forecasts from multiple models point to increased cloud cover and moderate rainfall over Guangzhou on September 21, driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows, which cap solar heating and favor highs near 33–35 °C rather than the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights a 60–80 % chance of showers during peak heating hours, introducing evaporative cooling and reduced insolation that tighten the range between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31–32 °C, but persistent late-summer humidity and variable timing of convective cells create the narrow spread reflected in current market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak exceeds 35 °C or stays suppressed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
36°C 32%
35°C 24%
34°C 18%
33°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
18%
35°C
24%
36°C
32%
37°C or higher
12%
36°C 32%
35°C 24%
34°C 18%
33°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
$6 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$0 Обс.
1%
31°C
$8 Обс.
3%
32°C
$29 Обс.
2%
33°C
$5 Обс.
15%
34°C
$0 Обс.
18%
35°C
$40 Обс.
24%
36°C
$15 Обс.
32%
37°C or higher
$164 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to increased cloud cover and moderate rainfall over Guangzhou on September 21, driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows, which cap solar heating and favor highs near 33–35 °C rather than the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights a 60–80 % chance of showers during peak heating hours, introducing evaporative cooling and reduced insolation that tighten the range between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31–32 °C, but persistent late-summer humidity and variable timing of convective cells create the narrow spread reflected in current market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak exceeds 35 °C or stays suppressed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$266Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to increased cloud cover and moderate rainfall over Guangzhou on September 21, driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows, which cap solar heating and favor highs near 33–35 °C rather than the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights a 60–80 % chance of showers during peak heating hours, introducing evaporative cooling and reduced insolation that tighten the range between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31–32 °C, but persistent late-summer humidity and variable timing of convective cells create the narrow spread reflected in current market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak exceeds 35 °C or stays suppressed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$266Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to increased cloud cover and moderate rainfall over Guangzhou on September 21, driven by regional moisture and weak steering flows, which cap solar heating and favor highs near 33–35 °C rather than the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights a 60–80 % chance of showers during peak heating hours, introducing evaporative cooling and reduced insolation that tighten the range between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31–32 °C, but persistent late-summer humidity and variable timing of convective cells create the narrow spread reflected in current market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak exceeds 35 °C or stays suppressed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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