Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 19 near 24–25°C under stable northeast flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. This positions the 24°C and 25°C outcomes as near-equally favored in trader consensus, reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast guidance on cloud cover, wind speeds, and urban heat retention that can shift overnight lows by 1°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers around 23–24°C lows, providing context for the tight clustering, while official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on verified hourly observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 19?
24°C 44%
25°C 41%
23°C 19%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
19%
24°C
44%
25°C
41%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
6%
24°C 44%
25°C 41%
23°C 19%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
19%
24°C
44%
25°C
41%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 19 near 24–25°C under stable northeast flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. This positions the 24°C and 25°C outcomes as near-equally favored in trader consensus, reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast guidance on cloud cover, wind speeds, and urban heat retention that can shift overnight lows by 1°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers around 23–24°C lows, providing context for the tight clustering, while official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on verified hourly observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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