Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 19 indicate generally fine, dry conditions under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime highs projected at 27–33°C amid low rainfall probability. This setup supports the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 31–33°C, as persistent subsidence and easterly flow limit cloud cover and moisture while allowing strong solar heating. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show modest spread around 32°C, reflecting typical September variability and urban heat island effects rather than extreme outliers. Traders appear to weigh the official 33°C upper bound against slightly cooler analogs from prior days, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Further forecast updates and observational trends through September 18 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C
21%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$309 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$68 Обс.
1%
29°C
$143 Обс.
3%
30°C
$0 Обс.
10%
31°C
$5 Обс.
24%
32°C
$115 Обс.
37%
33°C
$133 Обс.
21%
34°C
$410 Обс.
9%
35°C
$30 Обс.
3%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 19 indicate generally fine, dry conditions under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime highs projected at 27–33°C amid low rainfall probability. This setup supports the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 31–33°C, as persistent subsidence and easterly flow limit cloud cover and moisture while allowing strong solar heating. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show modest spread around 32°C, reflecting typical September variability and urban heat island effects rather than extreme outliers. Traders appear to weigh the official 33°C upper bound against slightly cooler analogs from prior days, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Further forecast updates and observational trends through September 18 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,338Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 19 indicate generally fine, dry conditions under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime highs projected at 27–33°C amid low rainfall probability. This setup supports the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 31–33°C, as persistent subsidence and easterly flow limit cloud cover and moisture while allowing strong solar heating. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show modest spread around 32°C, reflecting typical September variability and urban heat island effects rather than extreme outliers. Traders appear to weigh the official 33°C upper bound against slightly cooler analogs from prior days, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Further forecast updates and observational trends through September 18 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,338Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 19 indicate generally fine, dry conditions under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime highs projected at 27–33°C amid low rainfall probability. This setup supports the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 31–33°C, as persistent subsidence and easterly flow limit cloud cover and moisture while allowing strong solar heating. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show modest spread around 32°C, reflecting typical September variability and urban heat island effects rather than extreme outliers. Traders appear to weigh the official 33°C upper bound against slightly cooler analogs from prior days, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Further forecast updates and observational trends through September 18 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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