Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate Denver's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 59–62°F under mostly clear skies with light variable winds, supporting the near-even split between the 52–53°F and 51°F-or-below bins. Key differentiating factors include radiational cooling rates after sunset, modulated by dew points near 44–50°F and minimal cloud cover, versus any residual southeast breeze or urban heat island effects that could limit the drop. Model consensus shows only modest variability in boundary-layer mixing, leaving traders focused on precise hourly observations through midnight to resolve whether the minimum clears the 52°F threshold. Updated NWS guidance later today could refine this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Denver on September 12?
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$2,325 Обс.
$2,325 Обс.
51°F or below
-
52-53°F
-
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$2,325 Обс.
$2,325 Обс.
51°F or below
-
52-53°F
-
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate Denver's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 59–62°F under mostly clear skies with light variable winds, supporting the near-even split between the 52–53°F and 51°F-or-below bins. Key differentiating factors include radiational cooling rates after sunset, modulated by dew points near 44–50°F and minimal cloud cover, versus any residual southeast breeze or urban heat island effects that could limit the drop. Model consensus shows only modest variability in boundary-layer mixing, leaving traders focused on precise hourly observations through midnight to resolve whether the minimum clears the 52°F threshold. Updated NWS guidance later today could refine this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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