Warm, humid conditions with south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and partly cloudy skies kept overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 12, 2026. Official observations and model guidance indicated minimum temperatures near 82°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 73.5°F, as a persistent subtropical ridge suppressed cooler air intrusions. Recent days showed a similar pattern with daily lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with late-summer heat and elevated dew points that limited radiational cooling. These factors drove strong market-implied odds for the 80–81°F bin while rendering sub-78°F outcomes unlikely absent an unforecasted frontal passage. Updated National Weather Service climate summaries and station data releases will confirm the precise minimum for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 12?
80-81°F 96%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 9%
72-73°F 6%
$447 Обс.
$447 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
86%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 96%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 9%
72-73°F 6%
$447 Обс.
$447 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
6%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
9%
76-77°F
$73 Обс.
20%
78-79°F
$112 Обс.
49%
80-81°F
$180 Обс.
86%
82-83°F
$82 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm, humid conditions with south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and partly cloudy skies kept overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 12, 2026. Official observations and model guidance indicated minimum temperatures near 82°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 73.5°F, as a persistent subtropical ridge suppressed cooler air intrusions. Recent days showed a similar pattern with daily lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with late-summer heat and elevated dew points that limited radiational cooling. These factors drove strong market-implied odds for the 80–81°F bin while rendering sub-78°F outcomes unlikely absent an unforecasted frontal passage. Updated National Weather Service climate summaries and station data releases will confirm the precise minimum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$447Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm, humid conditions with south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and partly cloudy skies kept overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 12, 2026. Official observations and model guidance indicated minimum temperatures near 82°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 73.5°F, as a persistent subtropical ridge suppressed cooler air intrusions. Recent days showed a similar pattern with daily lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with late-summer heat and elevated dew points that limited radiational cooling. These factors drove strong market-implied odds for the 80–81°F bin while rendering sub-78°F outcomes unlikely absent an unforecasted frontal passage. Updated National Weather Service climate summaries and station data releases will confirm the precise minimum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$447Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Warm, humid conditions with south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and partly cloudy skies kept overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 12, 2026. Official observations and model guidance indicated minimum temperatures near 82°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 73.5°F, as a persistent subtropical ridge suppressed cooler air intrusions. Recent days showed a similar pattern with daily lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with late-summer heat and elevated dew points that limited radiational cooling. These factors drove strong market-implied odds for the 80–81°F bin while rendering sub-78°F outcomes unlikely absent an unforecasted frontal passage. Updated National Weather Service climate summaries and station data releases will confirm the precise minimum for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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