Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooldown for Paris on September 8, 2026, as a frontal system brings increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating after unusually warm conditions on September 6–7. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 22.6 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of precipitation and the depth of low-level cloud. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 22 °C and 23 °C while still assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C if breaks of sun occur, and lower outcomes if heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 8?
22°C 34%
23°C 32%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
34%
23°C
32%
24°C
20%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
3%
22°C 34%
23°C 32%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
3%
20°C
$0 Обс.
7%
21°C
$151 Обс.
13%
22°C
$58 Обс.
34%
23°C
$12 Обс.
32%
24°C
$74 Обс.
20%
25°C
$35 Обс.
7%
26°C
$0 Обс.
7%
27°C
$0 Обс.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooldown for Paris on September 8, 2026, as a frontal system brings increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating after unusually warm conditions on September 6–7. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 22.6 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of precipitation and the depth of low-level cloud. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 22 °C and 23 °C while still assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C if breaks of sun occur, and lower outcomes if heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$331Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooldown for Paris on September 8, 2026, as a frontal system brings increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating after unusually warm conditions on September 6–7. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 22.6 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of precipitation and the depth of low-level cloud. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 22 °C and 23 °C while still assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C if breaks of sun occur, and lower outcomes if heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$331Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooldown for Paris on September 8, 2026, as a frontal system brings increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating after unusually warm conditions on September 6–7. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 22.6 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of precipitation and the depth of low-level cloud. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 22 °C and 23 °C while still assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C if breaks of sun occur, and lower outcomes if heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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