Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a daily maximum near 30°C for Shanghai on September 6, supported by northerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after recent 31–32°C readings. Light showers forecast for the period add further moderation, consistent with the typical early-September transition toward cooler conditions as the East Asian monsoon wanes. Historical September highs average around 28°C, yet interannual variability and model spread leave room for 29°C or 31°C outcomes. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and final model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders assessing these market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
30°C 47%
29°C 25%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
47%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 47%
29°C 25%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
47%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a daily maximum near 30°C for Shanghai on September 6, supported by northerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after recent 31–32°C readings. Light showers forecast for the period add further moderation, consistent with the typical early-September transition toward cooler conditions as the East Asian monsoon wanes. Historical September highs average around 28°C, yet interannual variability and model spread leave room for 29°C or 31°C outcomes. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and final model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders assessing these market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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