Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 22°C for Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This setup stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and modest warming above the long-term average high of 20.2°C for the date. Trader consensus at 22°C (51.5%) and 23°C (25.5%) reflects alignment across multiple runs, though slight model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and timing of any cloud cover keeps 21°C viable at 17%. Updated KNMI guidance and next ensemble releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 52%
23°C 26%
21°C 16%
25°C 5%
$11,231 Обс.
$11,231 Обс.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
52%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 52%
23°C 26%
21°C 16%
25°C 5%
$11,231 Обс.
$11,231 Обс.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
52%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 22°C for Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This setup stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and modest warming above the long-term average high of 20.2°C for the date. Trader consensus at 22°C (51.5%) and 23°C (25.5%) reflects alignment across multiple runs, though slight model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and timing of any cloud cover keeps 21°C viable at 17%. Updated KNMI guidance and next ensemble releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання