**Recent official forecasts and model consensus position 21–22°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 4, 2026.** Persistent southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is advecting mild but moist maritime air across the North Sea region, while widespread cloud cover and expected rainfall (60–90% probability in most runs) limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from sources including GFS and regional models shows daytime highs clustered near 20–22°C (68–72°F), close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~21–22°C. Stronger ridging or clearer breaks could push readings toward 23°C, but current signals favor the lower end of that range. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 49.5% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 22°C and 21°C respectively, aligns closely with this near-term forecast consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
22°C 50%
21°C 37%
23°C 8%
20°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
37%
22°C
50%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
21°C 37%
23°C 8%
20°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
$188 Обс.
1%
18°C
$133 Обс.
1%
19°C
$180 Обс.
2%
20°C
$164 Обс.
5%
21°C
$434 Обс.
37%
22°C
$873 Обс.
50%
23°C
$774 Обс.
8%
24°C
$179 Обс.
2%
25°C
$174 Обс.
1%
26°C
$116 Обс.
1%
27°C or higher
$171 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus position 21–22°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 4, 2026.** Persistent southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is advecting mild but moist maritime air across the North Sea region, while widespread cloud cover and expected rainfall (60–90% probability in most runs) limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from sources including GFS and regional models shows daytime highs clustered near 20–22°C (68–72°F), close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~21–22°C. Stronger ridging or clearer breaks could push readings toward 23°C, but current signals favor the lower end of that range. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 49.5% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 22°C and 21°C respectively, aligns closely with this near-term forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,385Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus position 21–22°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 4, 2026.** Persistent southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is advecting mild but moist maritime air across the North Sea region, while widespread cloud cover and expected rainfall (60–90% probability in most runs) limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from sources including GFS and regional models shows daytime highs clustered near 20–22°C (68–72°F), close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~21–22°C. Stronger ridging or clearer breaks could push readings toward 23°C, but current signals favor the lower end of that range. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 49.5% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 22°C and 21°C respectively, aligns closely with this near-term forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,385Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts and model consensus position 21–22°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 4, 2026.** Persistent southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is advecting mild but moist maritime air across the North Sea region, while widespread cloud cover and expected rainfall (60–90% probability in most runs) limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from sources including GFS and regional models shows daytime highs clustered near 20–22°C (68–72°F), close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~21–22°C. Stronger ridging or clearer breaks could push readings toward 23°C, but current signals favor the lower end of that range. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 49.5% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 22°C and 21°C respectively, aligns closely with this near-term forecast consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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