Recent forecast model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by post-frontal high pressure and southwest flow following Thursday’s cold front. Clear skies and light winds will allow modest daytime heating from overnight lows near 9 °C, but the stable air mass and early-spring solar angles limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with slight upside risk if boundary-layer mixing exceeds current guidance. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 18 °C and 19 °C, while 17 °C retains meaningful support given the cool advection and historical September climatology near 19 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
18°C 51%
19°C 33%
17°C 20%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
39%
19°C
33%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 51%
19°C 33%
17°C 20%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
13°C
$0 Обс.
2%
14°C
$0 Обс.
4%
15°C
$0 Обс.
3%
16°C
$0 Обс.
10%
17°C
$0 Обс.
20%
18°C
$24 Обс.
39%
19°C
$99 Обс.
33%
20°C
$21 Обс.
5%
21°C
$54 Обс.
3%
22°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by post-frontal high pressure and southwest flow following Thursday’s cold front. Clear skies and light winds will allow modest daytime heating from overnight lows near 9 °C, but the stable air mass and early-spring solar angles limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with slight upside risk if boundary-layer mixing exceeds current guidance. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 18 °C and 19 °C, while 17 °C retains meaningful support given the cool advection and historical September climatology near 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$208Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by post-frontal high pressure and southwest flow following Thursday’s cold front. Clear skies and light winds will allow modest daytime heating from overnight lows near 9 °C, but the stable air mass and early-spring solar angles limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with slight upside risk if boundary-layer mixing exceeds current guidance. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 18 °C and 19 °C, while 17 °C retains meaningful support given the cool advection and historical September climatology near 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$208Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 17–18 °C in Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by post-frontal high pressure and southwest flow following Thursday’s cold front. Clear skies and light winds will allow modest daytime heating from overnight lows near 9 °C, but the stable air mass and early-spring solar angles limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with slight upside risk if boundary-layer mixing exceeds current guidance. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 18 °C and 19 °C, while 17 °C retains meaningful support given the cool advection and historical September climatology near 19 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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