Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time observations place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for September 2 at 33 °C, with model consensus and station data showing a clear daytime peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly flow. This produces the market’s near-certain 99.9 % implied probability for 33 °C, as traders integrate verified measurements against historical September baselines around 30–32 °C. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential micro-site variations at the official recording station or last-hour model adjustments, though current atmospheric stability and absence of convective activity make deviations to 32 °C or 34 °C highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
33°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$55,317 Обс.
$55,317 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$55,317 Обс.
$55,317 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
$659 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,734 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$7,179 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$3,306 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$23,618 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$11,112 Обс.
100%
34°C
$4,390 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$1,433 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$255 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$249 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time observations place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for September 2 at 33 °C, with model consensus and station data showing a clear daytime peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly flow. This produces the market’s near-certain 99.9 % implied probability for 33 °C, as traders integrate verified measurements against historical September baselines around 30–32 °C. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential micro-site variations at the official recording station or last-hour model adjustments, though current atmospheric stability and absence of convective activity make deviations to 32 °C or 34 °C highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$55,317Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time observations place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for September 2 at 33 °C, with model consensus and station data showing a clear daytime peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly flow. This produces the market’s near-certain 99.9 % implied probability for 33 °C, as traders integrate verified measurements against historical September baselines around 30–32 °C. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential micro-site variations at the official recording station or last-hour model adjustments, though current atmospheric stability and absence of convective activity make deviations to 32 °C or 34 °C highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$55,317Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time observations place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for September 2 at 33 °C, with model consensus and station data showing a clear daytime peak near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly flow. This produces the market’s near-certain 99.9 % implied probability for 33 °C, as traders integrate verified measurements against historical September baselines around 30–32 °C. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential micro-site variations at the official recording station or last-hour model adjustments, though current atmospheric stability and absence of convective activity make deviations to 32 °C or 34 °C highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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