Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models converge on a September 2 maximum of 31–33 °C in Tokyo under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity typical of early-autumn transition. Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with limited cloud cover and no immediate frontal or typhoon influence, supports daytime heating to these levels while overnight lows remain near 25–27 °C. Historical early-September normals hover around 30 °C, and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms or extreme heat anomalies keeps the distribution centered near 31 °C. Traders appear to weight the consensus model runs most heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting narrow uncertainty bands two days before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 17%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
44%
32°C
26%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 17%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
$1,807 Обс.
1%
27°C
$297 Обс.
2%
28°C
$129 Обс.
10%
29°C
$214 Обс.
6%
30°C
$800 Обс.
17%
31°C
$498 Обс.
44%
32°C
$297 Обс.
26%
33°C
$575 Обс.
5%
34°C
$323 Обс.
3%
35°C
$219 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$201 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models converge on a September 2 maximum of 31–33 °C in Tokyo under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity typical of early-autumn transition. Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with limited cloud cover and no immediate frontal or typhoon influence, supports daytime heating to these levels while overnight lows remain near 25–27 °C. Historical early-September normals hover around 30 °C, and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms or extreme heat anomalies keeps the distribution centered near 31 °C. Traders appear to weight the consensus model runs most heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting narrow uncertainty bands two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,361Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models converge on a September 2 maximum of 31–33 °C in Tokyo under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity typical of early-autumn transition. Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with limited cloud cover and no immediate frontal or typhoon influence, supports daytime heating to these levels while overnight lows remain near 25–27 °C. Historical early-September normals hover around 30 °C, and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms or extreme heat anomalies keeps the distribution centered near 31 °C. Traders appear to weight the consensus model runs most heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting narrow uncertainty bands two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,361Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models converge on a September 2 maximum of 31–33 °C in Tokyo under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity typical of early-autumn transition. Persistent warm air advection from the south, combined with limited cloud cover and no immediate frontal or typhoon influence, supports daytime heating to these levels while overnight lows remain near 25–27 °C. Historical early-September normals hover around 30 °C, and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms or extreme heat anomalies keeps the distribution centered near 31 °C. Traders appear to weight the consensus model runs most heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting narrow uncertainty bands two days before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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