Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
21°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
21°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$193 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$51 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$226 Обс.
5%
22°C
$331 Обс.
3%
23°C
$290 Обс.
29%
24°C
$239 Обс.
46%
25°C
$276 Обс.
18%
26°C
$106 Обс.
4%
27°C
$83 Обс.
1%
28°C
$228 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$124 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,148Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,148Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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