Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate Miami highs on September 1 will most likely reach the upper 80s to low 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability. Persistent summer warmth, typical early-September climatology (historical average high near 90°F), and limited steering influences from weak easterly flow support this range, while frequent afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects frequently cap peak readings. Recent August extremes above 95°F show the underlying heat available, yet consistent thunderstorm timing has kept daily maxima from exceeding model guidance. Updated NWS short-range runs and any shifts in convective initiation timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could move probabilities between the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on September 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 1?
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 31%
92-93°F 24%
86-87°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
14%
98°F or higher
13%
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 31%
92-93°F 24%
86-87°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
15%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
16%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
18%
88-89°F
$21 Обс.
31%
90-91°F
$18 Обс.
46%
92-93°F
$3 Обс.
24%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
16%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
14%
98°F or higher
$0 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate Miami highs on September 1 will most likely reach the upper 80s to low 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability. Persistent summer warmth, typical early-September climatology (historical average high near 90°F), and limited steering influences from weak easterly flow support this range, while frequent afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects frequently cap peak readings. Recent August extremes above 95°F show the underlying heat available, yet consistent thunderstorm timing has kept daily maxima from exceeding model guidance. Updated NWS short-range runs and any shifts in convective initiation timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could move probabilities between the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$43Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate Miami highs on September 1 will most likely reach the upper 80s to low 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability. Persistent summer warmth, typical early-September climatology (historical average high near 90°F), and limited steering influences from weak easterly flow support this range, while frequent afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects frequently cap peak readings. Recent August extremes above 95°F show the underlying heat available, yet consistent thunderstorm timing has kept daily maxima from exceeding model guidance. Updated NWS short-range runs and any shifts in convective initiation timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could move probabilities between the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$43Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate Miami highs on September 1 will most likely reach the upper 80s to low 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability. Persistent summer warmth, typical early-September climatology (historical average high near 90°F), and limited steering influences from weak easterly flow support this range, while frequent afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects frequently cap peak readings. Recent August extremes above 95°F show the underlying heat available, yet consistent thunderstorm timing has kept daily maxima from exceeding model guidance. Updated NWS short-range runs and any shifts in convective initiation timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could move probabilities between the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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