Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on August 30 project a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with easterly flow and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability, as typical late-summer subtropical heating is tempered by sea-breeze convection and cloud cover that limit peak readings to the upper 80s or low 90s. Persistent high humidity supports heat indices above 100°F but does not alter surface maxima. With no tropical systems or major pattern shifts expected in the next 48 hours, trader sentiment favors outcomes clustered around the seasonal baseline rather than extremes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on August 30?
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 18%
94-95°F 8%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
4%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 18%
94-95°F 8%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on August 30 project a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with easterly flow and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 45% implied probability, as typical late-summer subtropical heating is tempered by sea-breeze convection and cloud cover that limit peak readings to the upper 80s or low 90s. Persistent high humidity supports heat indices above 100°F but does not alter surface maxima. With no tropical systems or major pattern shifts expected in the next 48 hours, trader sentiment favors outcomes clustered around the seasonal baseline rather than extremes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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