Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and AEMET points to a brief cooling trend ahead of August 28, with clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating keeping Madrid's high temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. This follows cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context for the downward shift, while model agreement on minimal precipitation and stable pressure supports the market's emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome, with 26°C and 28°C as close alternatives. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 20%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
31%
27°C
41%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 20%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$108 Обс.
5%
25°C
$13 Обс.
8%
26°C
$82 Обс.
31%
27°C
$65 Обс.
41%
28°C
$28 Обс.
25%
29°C
$0 Обс.
7%
30°C
$0 Обс.
5%
31°C
$0 Обс.
4%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and AEMET points to a brief cooling trend ahead of August 28, with clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating keeping Madrid's high temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. This follows cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context for the downward shift, while model agreement on minimal precipitation and stable pressure supports the market's emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome, with 26°C and 28°C as close alternatives. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$202Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and AEMET points to a brief cooling trend ahead of August 28, with clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating keeping Madrid's high temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. This follows cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context for the downward shift, while model agreement on minimal precipitation and stable pressure supports the market's emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome, with 26°C and 28°C as close alternatives. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$202Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and AEMET points to a brief cooling trend ahead of August 28, with clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating keeping Madrid's high temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. This follows cooler, cloudier conditions on the 26th–27th that suppressed maxima below seasonal norms. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context for the downward shift, while model agreement on minimal precipitation and stable pressure supports the market's emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome, with 26°C and 28°C as close alternatives. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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