Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, including extensive cloud cover, scattered to occasional rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, have suppressed daytime heating and kept maximum temperatures near 28°C, consistent with PAGASA observations and regional forecasts of 25–29°C. This aligns with model consensus showing high humidity, moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and reduced insolation preventing the typical August highs near 31°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 28°C reflects these verified atmospheric patterns and official monitoring data. Clearer skies or localized breaks in the monsoon flow could allow brief warming above this threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given ongoing precipitation and model guidance through the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 28?
28°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,143 Обс.
$23,143 Обс.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,143 Обс.
$23,143 Обс.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, including extensive cloud cover, scattered to occasional rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, have suppressed daytime heating and kept maximum temperatures near 28°C, consistent with PAGASA observations and regional forecasts of 25–29°C. This aligns with model consensus showing high humidity, moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and reduced insolation preventing the typical August highs near 31°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 28°C reflects these verified atmospheric patterns and official monitoring data. Clearer skies or localized breaks in the monsoon flow could allow brief warming above this threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given ongoing precipitation and model guidance through the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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