**Recent forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier, rainier conditions over Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, suppressing peak temperatures relative to the clearer, hotter days immediately preceding it.** Multiple models show a high probability of thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover that day, with predicted maxima clustered around 30–34 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 30–32 °C together exceed 70 % implied probability. Key drivers include an active monsoon trough or frontal boundary increasing moisture and convective activity, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Historical climatology places the August 30 average high near 33 °C, but the current pattern deviates from that baseline due to the expected precipitation. Model consensus on timing and intensity of showers introduces modest uncertainty—earlier or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a higher peak near 33 °C, while heavier or more persistent coverage favors 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the lower end of the typical late-summer range, reflecting the dominant influence of this short-term weather regime.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
31°C 31%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
31%
32°C
24%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$50 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$440 Обс.
1%
29°C
$290 Обс.
8%
30°C
$467 Обс.
19%
31°C
$243 Обс.
31%
32°C
$355 Обс.
24%
33°C
$305 Обс.
10%
34°C
$337 Обс.
4%
35°C
$542 Обс.
3%
36°C
$73 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$200 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier, rainier conditions over Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, suppressing peak temperatures relative to the clearer, hotter days immediately preceding it.** Multiple models show a high probability of thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover that day, with predicted maxima clustered around 30–34 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 30–32 °C together exceed 70 % implied probability.
Key drivers include an active monsoon trough or frontal boundary increasing moisture and convective activity, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Historical climatology places the August 30 average high near 33 °C, but the current pattern deviates from that baseline due to the expected precipitation. Model consensus on timing and intensity of showers introduces modest uncertainty—earlier or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a higher peak near 33 °C, while heavier or more persistent coverage favors 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the lower end of the typical late-summer range, reflecting the dominant influence of this short-term weather regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,303Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier, rainier conditions over Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, suppressing peak temperatures relative to the clearer, hotter days immediately preceding it.** Multiple models show a high probability of thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover that day, with predicted maxima clustered around 30–34 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 30–32 °C together exceed 70 % implied probability.
Key drivers include an active monsoon trough or frontal boundary increasing moisture and convective activity, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Historical climatology places the August 30 average high near 33 °C, but the current pattern deviates from that baseline due to the expected precipitation. Model consensus on timing and intensity of showers introduces modest uncertainty—earlier or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a higher peak near 33 °C, while heavier or more persistent coverage favors 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the lower end of the typical late-summer range, reflecting the dominant influence of this short-term weather regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,303Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier, rainier conditions over Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, suppressing peak temperatures relative to the clearer, hotter days immediately preceding it.** Multiple models show a high probability of thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover that day, with predicted maxima clustered around 30–34 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 30–32 °C together exceed 70 % implied probability. Key drivers include an active monsoon trough or frontal boundary increasing moisture and convective activity, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Historical climatology places the August 30 average high near 33 °C, but the current pattern deviates from that baseline due to the expected precipitation. Model consensus on timing and intensity of showers introduces modest uncertainty—earlier or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a higher peak near 33 °C, while heavier or more persistent coverage favors 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the lower end of the typical late-summer range, reflecting the dominant influence of this short-term weather regime.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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