Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
24°C 38%
25°C 37%
23°C 14%
26°C or higher 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
38%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
14%
24°C 38%
25°C 37%
23°C 14%
26°C or higher 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$158 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$140 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$241 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$167 Обс.
1%
21°C
$97 Обс.
2%
22°C
$12 Обс.
4%
23°C
$33 Обс.
14%
24°C
$45 Обс.
38%
25°C
$210 Обс.
37%
26°C or higher
$29 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,146Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,146Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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