Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Shanghai on August 29, with consensus clustering near 32°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that may cap afternoon peaks. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 31–32°C before seasonal cooling begins. Recent days have shown similar readings of 30–33°C under comparable humid, monsoon-influenced conditions, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky intensification expected to push values higher. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and model agreement heavily, as the narrow probability spread around 32°C reflects limited uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions this close to the observation period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
32°C 57%
31°C 25%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$17,197 Обс.
$17,197 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 25%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$17,197 Обс.
$17,197 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Shanghai on August 29, with consensus clustering near 32°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that may cap afternoon peaks. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 31–32°C before seasonal cooling begins. Recent days have shown similar readings of 30–33°C under comparable humid, monsoon-influenced conditions, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky intensification expected to push values higher. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and model agreement heavily, as the narrow probability spread around 32°C reflects limited uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions this close to the observation period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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