Recent forecast updates from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam for August 28, producing maximum temperatures clustered around 21–24°C. This unsettled pattern follows warmer, clearer conditions the prior day and aligns with seasonal late-summer norms of frequent Atlantic moisture. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, with only brief breaks possible around midday. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any convective cells, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which official agencies continue to refine through updated runs ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
23°C 39%
22°C 33%
24°C 15%
21°C 8%
$11,635 Обс.
$11,635 Обс.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
33%
23°C
39%
24°C
15%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 39%
22°C 33%
24°C 15%
21°C 8%
$11,635 Обс.
$11,635 Обс.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
33%
23°C
39%
24°C
15%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam for August 28, producing maximum temperatures clustered around 21–24°C. This unsettled pattern follows warmer, clearer conditions the prior day and aligns with seasonal late-summer norms of frequent Atlantic moisture. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, with only brief breaks possible around midday. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any convective cells, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which official agencies continue to refine through updated runs ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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