**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
27°C 39%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
29%
27°C
39%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Обс.
4%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$0 Обс.
4%
25°C
$77 Обс.
6%
26°C
$195 Обс.
29%
27°C
$73 Обс.
39%
28°C
$13 Обс.
18%
29°C
$0 Обс.
7%
30°C
$0 Обс.
5%
31°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$36 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$403Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$403Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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