**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 27?
31°C 38%
30°C 24%
29°C 20%
32°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
20%
30°C
24%
31°C
38%
32°C
20%
33°C
16%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 24%
29°C 20%
32°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
9%
29°C
$0 Обс.
20%
30°C
$0 Обс.
24%
31°C
$0 Обс.
38%
32°C
$0 Обс.
20%
33°C
$0 Обс.
16%
34°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**PAGASA forecasts and the ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant near-term drivers shaping trader views on Manila’s peak temperature for August 27.** Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to persist over Metro Manila through August 26–28, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August highs near 30–31 °C, with the monsoon’s moisture and cloud cover historically suppressing extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C reflects this balance between seasonal warmth and frequent convective activity. Key variables that could shift the outcome include the exact timing and intensity of monsoon surges or any unexpected break in cloud cover, both of which will be clarified by updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the final 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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