Current model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 27, driving the leading market shares for those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High pressure aloft and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and humidity above 60% can elevate observed maxima by 1–2°C over rural baselines. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to potential weak frontal passages or localized thunderstorms that could cap temperatures near 36°C or allow brief spikes toward 39°C. Historical August climatology features average highs near 34°C with frequent excursions above 38°C, underscoring why traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs heavily as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
38°C 34%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
16%
37°C
31%
38°C
40%
39°C
16%
40°C
9%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
9%
38°C 34%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
32°C or below
$263 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$0 Обс.
3%
34°C
$0 Обс.
3%
35°C
$3 Обс.
8%
36°C
$2 Обс.
16%
37°C
$11 Обс.
31%
38°C
$50 Обс.
40%
39°C
$30 Обс.
16%
40°C
$57 Обс.
9%
41°C
$0 Обс.
7%
42°C or higher
$0 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 27, driving the leading market shares for those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High pressure aloft and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and humidity above 60% can elevate observed maxima by 1–2°C over rural baselines. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to potential weak frontal passages or localized thunderstorms that could cap temperatures near 36°C or allow brief spikes toward 39°C. Historical August climatology features average highs near 34°C with frequent excursions above 38°C, underscoring why traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$416Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 27, driving the leading market shares for those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High pressure aloft and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and humidity above 60% can elevate observed maxima by 1–2°C over rural baselines. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to potential weak frontal passages or localized thunderstorms that could cap temperatures near 36°C or allow brief spikes toward 39°C. Historical August climatology features average highs near 34°C with frequent excursions above 38°C, underscoring why traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$416Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 27, driving the leading market shares for those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High pressure aloft and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and humidity above 60% can elevate observed maxima by 1–2°C over rural baselines. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to potential weak frontal passages or localized thunderstorms that could cap temperatures near 36°C or allow brief spikes toward 39°C. Historical August climatology features average highs near 34°C with frequent excursions above 38°C, underscoring why traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs heavily as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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