Latest ensemble forecasts from operational models position Istanbul's August 27 maximum near 28–30°C under persistent high pressure and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology of 27–29°C. Marine moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, plus potential afternoon sea breezes, often caps peaks below 30°C despite subsidence warming, supporting the market's strong consensus on 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model spread remains the key uncertainty factor, with any strengthening of warm advection or reduced humidity potentially elevating 29°C probabilities ahead of resolution. Updated short-range runs and NHC-style regional guidance will drive further shifts in trader sentiment before the 27th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
27°C 49%
28°C 32%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
49%
28°C
32%
29°C
12%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 32%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
5%
24°C
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C
$0 Обс.
6%
26°C
$27 Обс.
13%
27°C
$114 Обс.
49%
28°C
$16 Обс.
32%
29°C
$0 Обс.
12%
30°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$11 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from operational models position Istanbul's August 27 maximum near 28–30°C under persistent high pressure and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology of 27–29°C. Marine moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, plus potential afternoon sea breezes, often caps peaks below 30°C despite subsidence warming, supporting the market's strong consensus on 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model spread remains the key uncertainty factor, with any strengthening of warm advection or reduced humidity potentially elevating 29°C probabilities ahead of resolution. Updated short-range runs and NHC-style regional guidance will drive further shifts in trader sentiment before the 27th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$167Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from operational models position Istanbul's August 27 maximum near 28–30°C under persistent high pressure and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology of 27–29°C. Marine moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, plus potential afternoon sea breezes, often caps peaks below 30°C despite subsidence warming, supporting the market's strong consensus on 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model spread remains the key uncertainty factor, with any strengthening of warm advection or reduced humidity potentially elevating 29°C probabilities ahead of resolution. Updated short-range runs and NHC-style regional guidance will drive further shifts in trader sentiment before the 27th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$167Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from operational models position Istanbul's August 27 maximum near 28–30°C under persistent high pressure and light winds, aligning with late-summer climatology of 27–29°C. Marine moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, plus potential afternoon sea breezes, often caps peaks below 30°C despite subsidence warming, supporting the market's strong consensus on 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model spread remains the key uncertainty factor, with any strengthening of warm advection or reduced humidity potentially elevating 29°C probabilities ahead of resolution. Updated short-range runs and NHC-style regional guidance will drive further shifts in trader sentiment before the 27th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання