Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to sunny conditions with light west winds as the main driver keeping NYC's August 25 high temperature in the 78–81°F range, where trader-implied odds concentrate. Recent high-pressure dominance and absence of cloud cover or moisture have stabilized the forecast, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August while slightly below the 82°F daily average. Subtle differences in peak heating timing and boundary-layer mixing across models explain the near-even split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated guidance on August 25 morning will refine the exact maximum and resolution odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$5 Обс.
2%
72-73°F
$5 Обс.
3%
74-75°F
$2 Обс.
5%
76-77°F
$6 Обс.
17%
78-79°F
$162 Обс.
43%
80-81°F
$29 Обс.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
8%
84-85°F
$50 Обс.
2%
86°F or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to sunny conditions with light west winds as the main driver keeping NYC's August 25 high temperature in the 78–81°F range, where trader-implied odds concentrate. Recent high-pressure dominance and absence of cloud cover or moisture have stabilized the forecast, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August while slightly below the 82°F daily average. Subtle differences in peak heating timing and boundary-layer mixing across models explain the near-even split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated guidance on August 25 morning will refine the exact maximum and resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$263Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to sunny conditions with light west winds as the main driver keeping NYC's August 25 high temperature in the 78–81°F range, where trader-implied odds concentrate. Recent high-pressure dominance and absence of cloud cover or moisture have stabilized the forecast, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August while slightly below the 82°F daily average. Subtle differences in peak heating timing and boundary-layer mixing across models explain the near-even split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated guidance on August 25 morning will refine the exact maximum and resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$263Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model consensus point to sunny conditions with light west winds as the main driver keeping NYC's August 25 high temperature in the 78–81°F range, where trader-implied odds concentrate. Recent high-pressure dominance and absence of cloud cover or moisture have stabilized the forecast, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August while slightly below the 82°F daily average. Subtle differences in peak heating timing and boundary-layer mixing across models explain the near-even split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated guidance on August 25 morning will refine the exact maximum and resolution odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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