Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24 clustered around 29–32°C because short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the peak monsoon and typhoon season—limit daytime solar heating and can shave several degrees off the maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet the precise daily peak hinges on whether convection develops before or after peak afternoon heating. Updated model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will clarify whether skies clear enough for a 32°C reading or remain overcast enough to favor 30°C or lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24 clustered around 29–32°C because short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the peak monsoon and typhoon season—limit daytime solar heating and can shave several degrees off the maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet the precise daily peak hinges on whether convection develops before or after peak afternoon heating. Updated model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will clarify whether skies clear enough for a 32°C reading or remain overcast enough to favor 30°C or lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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