Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 24 will likely fall in the 11–14°C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where average minimums decline from ~15°C early in the month toward 13°C by month-end. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in nocturnal radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, wind speed, and surface moisture—can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Clearer, calmer conditions enhance longwave heat loss from the ground, favoring colder readings near or below 10°C, whereas increased cloudiness or stronger southerly flow would limit cooling and support milder values above 18°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and sky conditions ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
9°C or below 99%
19°C or higher 60%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
99%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C or higher
60%
9°C or below 99%
19°C or higher 60%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Обс.
99%
10°C
$0 Обс.
19%
11°C
$0 Обс.
19%
12°C
$0 Обс.
19%
13°C
$0 Обс.
19%
14°C
$0 Обс.
19%
15°C
$4 Обс.
19%
16°C
$5 Обс.
37%
17°C
$5 Обс.
37%
18°C
$5 Обс.
37%
19°C or higher
$5 Обс.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 24 will likely fall in the 11–14°C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where average minimums decline from ~15°C early in the month toward 13°C by month-end. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in nocturnal radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, wind speed, and surface moisture—can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Clearer, calmer conditions enhance longwave heat loss from the ground, favoring colder readings near or below 10°C, whereas increased cloudiness or stronger southerly flow would limit cooling and support milder values above 18°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and sky conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 24 will likely fall in the 11–14°C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where average minimums decline from ~15°C early in the month toward 13°C by month-end. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in nocturnal radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, wind speed, and surface moisture—can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Clearer, calmer conditions enhance longwave heat loss from the ground, favoring colder readings near or below 10°C, whereas increased cloudiness or stronger southerly flow would limit cooling and support milder values above 18°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and sky conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 24 will likely fall in the 11–14°C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where average minimums decline from ~15°C early in the month toward 13°C by month-end. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in nocturnal radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, wind speed, and surface moisture—can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Clearer, calmer conditions enhance longwave heat loss from the ground, favoring colder readings near or below 10°C, whereas increased cloudiness or stronger southerly flow would limit cooling and support milder values above 18°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and sky conditions ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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