Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 24 high will likely peak near 19–21°C, with the market's tight clustering around 19–20°C reflecting model consensus on moderating conditions. A shift toward increased cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary is limiting daytime insolation and surface heating, while prevailing westerly flow advects cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology of 22–23°C highs under stronger high-pressure influence. Traders weigh these dynamics against forecast spread, as any clearing trend or delayed frontal passage could push readings toward 22°C or higher before resolution. Updated model runs and Roshydromet guidance in the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
25°C or higher 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
5%
16°C
13%
17°C
10%
18°C
20%
19°C
23%
20°C
30%
21°C
16%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
39%
25°C or higher 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$10 Обс.
5%
16°C
$10 Обс.
13%
17°C
$0 Обс.
10%
18°C
$0 Обс.
20%
19°C
$0 Обс.
23%
20°C
$9 Обс.
30%
21°C
$0 Обс.
16%
22°C
$0 Обс.
13%
23°C
$10 Обс.
7%
24°C
$5 Обс.
4%
25°C or higher
$5 Обс.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 24 high will likely peak near 19–21°C, with the market's tight clustering around 19–20°C reflecting model consensus on moderating conditions. A shift toward increased cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary is limiting daytime insolation and surface heating, while prevailing westerly flow advects cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology of 22–23°C highs under stronger high-pressure influence. Traders weigh these dynamics against forecast spread, as any clearing trend or delayed frontal passage could push readings toward 22°C or higher before resolution. Updated model runs and Roshydromet guidance in the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$49Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 24 high will likely peak near 19–21°C, with the market's tight clustering around 19–20°C reflecting model consensus on moderating conditions. A shift toward increased cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary is limiting daytime insolation and surface heating, while prevailing westerly flow advects cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology of 22–23°C highs under stronger high-pressure influence. Traders weigh these dynamics against forecast spread, as any clearing trend or delayed frontal passage could push readings toward 22°C or higher before resolution. Updated model runs and Roshydromet guidance in the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$49Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 24 high will likely peak near 19–21°C, with the market's tight clustering around 19–20°C reflecting model consensus on moderating conditions. A shift toward increased cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary is limiting daytime insolation and surface heating, while prevailing westerly flow advects cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology of 22–23°C highs under stronger high-pressure influence. Traders weigh these dynamics against forecast spread, as any clearing trend or delayed frontal passage could push readings toward 22°C or higher before resolution. Updated model runs and Roshydromet guidance in the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання