Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models and agencies such as the Hydrometeorological Center and Yandex Weather positions Moscow’s August 23 daytime high near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s dominant 23 °C (50 %) and 22 °C (22.5 %) outcomes under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep cloud cover broken rather than overcast, supporting modest solar heating that favors these values over cooler or warmer extremes; ensemble spreads remain narrow at this 48-hour lead time, limiting probability mass on 24 °C (16 %) or lower outcomes. No major model runs or observational updates in the past 24 hours have shifted the ridge or frontal timing, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current forecast envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
23°C 50%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C or higher 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
7%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
24%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
9%
23°C 50%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C or higher 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Обс.
7%
18°C
$20 Обс.
7%
19°C
$5 Обс.
2%
20°C
$332 Обс.
6%
21°C
$53 Обс.
4%
22°C
$69 Обс.
24%
23°C
$69 Обс.
50%
24°C
$37 Обс.
16%
25°C
$30 Обс.
4%
26°C
$36 Обс.
4%
27°C or higher
$25 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models and agencies such as the Hydrometeorological Center and Yandex Weather positions Moscow’s August 23 daytime high near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s dominant 23 °C (50 %) and 22 °C (22.5 %) outcomes under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep cloud cover broken rather than overcast, supporting modest solar heating that favors these values over cooler or warmer extremes; ensemble spreads remain narrow at this 48-hour lead time, limiting probability mass on 24 °C (16 %) or lower outcomes. No major model runs or observational updates in the past 24 hours have shifted the ridge or frontal timing, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$695Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models and agencies such as the Hydrometeorological Center and Yandex Weather positions Moscow’s August 23 daytime high near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s dominant 23 °C (50 %) and 22 °C (22.5 %) outcomes under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep cloud cover broken rather than overcast, supporting modest solar heating that favors these values over cooler or warmer extremes; ensemble spreads remain narrow at this 48-hour lead time, limiting probability mass on 24 °C (16 %) or lower outcomes. No major model runs or observational updates in the past 24 hours have shifted the ridge or frontal timing, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$695Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models and agencies such as the Hydrometeorological Center and Yandex Weather positions Moscow’s August 23 daytime high near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market’s dominant 23 °C (50 %) and 22 °C (22.5 %) outcomes under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep cloud cover broken rather than overcast, supporting modest solar heating that favors these values over cooler or warmer extremes; ensemble spreads remain narrow at this 48-hour lead time, limiting probability mass on 24 °C (16 %) or lower outcomes. No major model runs or observational updates in the past 24 hours have shifted the ridge or frontal timing, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the current forecast envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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