Recent cooling after mid-August warmth near 29–31°C, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected across the Paris region on August 21, has anchored trader sentiment near 23–24°C. Official forecasts highlight reduced insolation from overcast conditions and convective activity that limits afternoon peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology of 23–25°C highs. Modest differences in model timing for cloud breaks and shower intensity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, as surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upside potential above 25°C while keeping downside risk below 22°C contained. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 21?
23°C 41%
24°C 40%
22°C 11%
25°C 8%
$71,560 Обс.
$71,560 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
41%
24°C
40%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
24°C 40%
22°C 11%
25°C 8%
$71,560 Обс.
$71,560 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$14,493 Обс.
1%
21°C
$6,910 Обс.
1%
22°C
$4,795 Обс.
11%
23°C
$10,825 Обс.
41%
24°C
$5,707 Обс.
40%
25°C
$6,762 Обс.
8%
26°C
$7,970 Обс.
1%
27°C
$3,572 Обс.
1%
28°C
$3,418 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$4,846 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,263 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after mid-August warmth near 29–31°C, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected across the Paris region on August 21, has anchored trader sentiment near 23–24°C. Official forecasts highlight reduced insolation from overcast conditions and convective activity that limits afternoon peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology of 23–25°C highs. Modest differences in model timing for cloud breaks and shower intensity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, as surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upside potential above 25°C while keeping downside risk below 22°C contained. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$71,560Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after mid-August warmth near 29–31°C, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected across the Paris region on August 21, has anchored trader sentiment near 23–24°C. Official forecasts highlight reduced insolation from overcast conditions and convective activity that limits afternoon peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology of 23–25°C highs. Modest differences in model timing for cloud breaks and shower intensity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, as surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upside potential above 25°C while keeping downside risk below 22°C contained. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$71,560Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after mid-August warmth near 29–31°C, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected across the Paris region on August 21, has anchored trader sentiment near 23–24°C. Official forecasts highlight reduced insolation from overcast conditions and convective activity that limits afternoon peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology of 23–25°C highs. Modest differences in model timing for cloud breaks and shower intensity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, as surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upside potential above 25°C while keeping downside risk below 22°C contained. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання