Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a highest temperature of 31–32°C on August 22, with 70–95% rain probability and showers expected to limit daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes after an early-August heatwave peaked near 36.9°C under Typhoon Dolphin’s influence. Persistent high humidity, increasing cloud cover, and steering patterns favoring thundershowers are now moderating extremes, consistent with climatological norms for late-summer tropical conditions where afternoon convection frequently caps maxima. Updated model runs and the observatory’s daily briefings through the weekend will refine rain timing and intensity, key variables that could shift the distribution toward slightly cooler or warmer resolutions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
31°C 39%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 39%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a highest temperature of 31–32°C on August 22, with 70–95% rain probability and showers expected to limit daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes after an early-August heatwave peaked near 36.9°C under Typhoon Dolphin’s influence. Persistent high humidity, increasing cloud cover, and steering patterns favoring thundershowers are now moderating extremes, consistent with climatological norms for late-summer tropical conditions where afternoon convection frequently caps maxima. Updated model runs and the observatory’s daily briefings through the weekend will refine rain timing and intensity, key variables that could shift the distribution toward slightly cooler or warmer resolutions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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