**Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered showers around August 20 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered between 29°C and 31°C.** High humidity near 75% and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit daytime heating, with model consensus pointing to modest insolation that favors peaks near seasonal norms of 30–32°C rather than stronger clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential afternoon clearing, which could support 30–31°C readings at official Incheon stations, against convective activity that historically caps maxima 1–2°C lower. Upcoming model runs and KMA updates through August 19 will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in cloud fraction or timing of any precipitation directly influence which bin resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
29°C 40%
30°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
40%
30°C
34%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
$296 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$289 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$245 Обс.
1%
26°C
$100 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$31 Обс.
3%
28°C
$112 Обс.
13%
29°C
$891 Обс.
40%
30°C
$554 Обс.
34%
31°C
$116 Обс.
9%
32°C
$93 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$37 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered showers around August 20 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered between 29°C and 31°C.** High humidity near 75% and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit daytime heating, with model consensus pointing to modest insolation that favors peaks near seasonal norms of 30–32°C rather than stronger clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential afternoon clearing, which could support 30–31°C readings at official Incheon stations, against convective activity that historically caps maxima 1–2°C lower. Upcoming model runs and KMA updates through August 19 will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in cloud fraction or timing of any precipitation directly influence which bin resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,764Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered showers around August 20 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered between 29°C and 31°C.** High humidity near 75% and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit daytime heating, with model consensus pointing to modest insolation that favors peaks near seasonal norms of 30–32°C rather than stronger clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential afternoon clearing, which could support 30–31°C readings at official Incheon stations, against convective activity that historically caps maxima 1–2°C lower. Upcoming model runs and KMA updates through August 19 will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in cloud fraction or timing of any precipitation directly influence which bin resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,764Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered showers around August 20 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered between 29°C and 31°C.** High humidity near 75% and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit daytime heating, with model consensus pointing to modest insolation that favors peaks near seasonal norms of 30–32°C rather than stronger clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential afternoon clearing, which could support 30–31°C readings at official Incheon stations, against convective activity that historically caps maxima 1–2°C lower. Upcoming model runs and KMA updates through August 19 will refine these thresholds, as small shifts in cloud fraction or timing of any precipitation directly influence which bin resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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