Recent KMA short-range forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on August 20 project a morning low of 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% AM precipitation chance, directly supporting the leading 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 23–26°C amid seasonal humidity and weak diurnal cooling, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative heat loss. Adjacent 24°C and 26°C options (27.5% and 25.5%) capture model uncertainty in how any overnight showers or variable steering patterns might shift the exact minimum by 1°C. No typhoons or strong fronts are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around the KMA baseline while traders await updated model runs and official observations closer to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
25°C 46%
24°C 27%
26°C 26%
23°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
28%
25°C
46%
26°C
26%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 27%
26°C 26%
23°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
21°C
$10 Обс.
2%
22°C
$0 Обс.
6%
23°C
$20 Обс.
8%
24°C
$33 Обс.
28%
25°C
$0 Обс.
46%
26°C
$0 Обс.
26%
27°C
$81 Обс.
5%
28°C
$20 Обс.
1%
29°C
$5 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on August 20 project a morning low of 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% AM precipitation chance, directly supporting the leading 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 23–26°C amid seasonal humidity and weak diurnal cooling, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative heat loss. Adjacent 24°C and 26°C options (27.5% and 25.5%) capture model uncertainty in how any overnight showers or variable steering patterns might shift the exact minimum by 1°C. No typhoons or strong fronts are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around the KMA baseline while traders await updated model runs and official observations closer to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$179Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on August 20 project a morning low of 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% AM precipitation chance, directly supporting the leading 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 23–26°C amid seasonal humidity and weak diurnal cooling, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative heat loss. Adjacent 24°C and 26°C options (27.5% and 25.5%) capture model uncertainty in how any overnight showers or variable steering patterns might shift the exact minimum by 1°C. No typhoons or strong fronts are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around the KMA baseline while traders await updated model runs and official observations closer to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$179Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA short-range forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on August 20 project a morning low of 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% AM precipitation chance, directly supporting the leading 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 23–26°C amid seasonal humidity and weak diurnal cooling, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative heat loss. Adjacent 24°C and 26°C options (27.5% and 25.5%) capture model uncertainty in how any overnight showers or variable steering patterns might shift the exact minimum by 1°C. No typhoons or strong fronts are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities clustered around the KMA baseline while traders await updated model runs and official observations closer to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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