Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate trader sentiment for Manila's August 22 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting a high of 32°C amid 70% rain chance and widespread cloud cover. This pattern, typical of the wet season, limits daytime heating through frequent showers and thunderstorms, keeping maxima aligned with August climatological averages near 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from these baselines, though any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official monitoring emphasizes the monsoon's steering influence over landfall timing and intensity, shaping the narrow range of likely outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 22?
33°C 38%
30°C 35%
31°C 21%
32°C 21%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
35%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
38%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
30°C 35%
31°C 21%
32°C 21%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
35%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
38%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate trader sentiment for Manila's August 22 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting a high of 32°C amid 70% rain chance and widespread cloud cover. This pattern, typical of the wet season, limits daytime heating through frequent showers and thunderstorms, keeping maxima aligned with August climatological averages near 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from these baselines, though any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official monitoring emphasizes the monsoon's steering influence over landfall timing and intensity, shaping the narrow range of likely outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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