Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate moderate onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer will likely cap the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport or downtown stations near 78–81°F on August 19. Persistent Pacific high pressure combined with cooler sea-surface temperatures along the coast has suppressed stronger heating after earlier August warmth, producing daily highs clustered in this narrow range. Historical August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows a median high near 80°F, reinforcing trader focus on the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome. Limited model spread and the absence of offshore winds or heat advection keep probabilities for 84°F or higher below 5 percent, with the market-implied odds reflecting this tight forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 19?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 19?
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 12%
77°F or below 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
9%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 12%
77°F or below 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
$1,176 Обс.
9%
78-79°F
$439 Обс.
26%
80-81°F
$1,337 Обс.
49%
82-83°F
$563 Обс.
12%
84-85°F
$584 Обс.
4%
86-87°F
$116 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$387 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$428 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$598 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$425 Обс.
<1%
96°F or higher
$422 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate moderate onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer will likely cap the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport or downtown stations near 78–81°F on August 19. Persistent Pacific high pressure combined with cooler sea-surface temperatures along the coast has suppressed stronger heating after earlier August warmth, producing daily highs clustered in this narrow range. Historical August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows a median high near 80°F, reinforcing trader focus on the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome. Limited model spread and the absence of offshore winds or heat advection keep probabilities for 84°F or higher below 5 percent, with the market-implied odds reflecting this tight forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,475Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate moderate onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer will likely cap the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport or downtown stations near 78–81°F on August 19. Persistent Pacific high pressure combined with cooler sea-surface temperatures along the coast has suppressed stronger heating after earlier August warmth, producing daily highs clustered in this narrow range. Historical August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows a median high near 80°F, reinforcing trader focus on the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome. Limited model spread and the absence of offshore winds or heat advection keep probabilities for 84°F or higher below 5 percent, with the market-implied odds reflecting this tight forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,475Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate moderate onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer will likely cap the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport or downtown stations near 78–81°F on August 19. Persistent Pacific high pressure combined with cooler sea-surface temperatures along the coast has suppressed stronger heating after earlier August warmth, producing daily highs clustered in this narrow range. Historical August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows a median high near 80°F, reinforcing trader focus on the 80–81°F bin as the modal outcome. Limited model spread and the absence of offshore winds or heat advection keep probabilities for 84°F or higher below 5 percent, with the market-implied odds reflecting this tight forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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