Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance for Central Park centers the August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads favoring mid- to upper-80s outcomes amid trader consensus around 86-89°F. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, which reduce surface insolation and limit peak heating, versus clearer periods that allow stronger diurnal warming. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic can further moderate temperatures by advecting cooler marine air, while its inland penetration depends on prevailing gradient winds and boundary-layer mixing. These variables create genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 19?
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 13%
84-85°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
4%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 13%
84-85°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
75°F or below
$25 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$41 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$152 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$333 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$74 Обс.
2%
84-85°F
$295 Обс.
9%
86-87°F
$138 Обс.
40%
88-89°F
$151 Обс.
39%
90-91°F
$78 Обс.
13%
92-93°F
$198 Обс.
4%
94°F or higher
$585 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance for Central Park centers the August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads favoring mid- to upper-80s outcomes amid trader consensus around 86-89°F. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, which reduce surface insolation and limit peak heating, versus clearer periods that allow stronger diurnal warming. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic can further moderate temperatures by advecting cooler marine air, while its inland penetration depends on prevailing gradient winds and boundary-layer mixing. These variables create genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,070Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance for Central Park centers the August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads favoring mid- to upper-80s outcomes amid trader consensus around 86-89°F. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, which reduce surface insolation and limit peak heating, versus clearer periods that allow stronger diurnal warming. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic can further moderate temperatures by advecting cooler marine air, while its inland penetration depends on prevailing gradient winds and boundary-layer mixing. These variables create genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,070Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance for Central Park centers the August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads favoring mid- to upper-80s outcomes amid trader consensus around 86-89°F. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, which reduce surface insolation and limit peak heating, versus clearer periods that allow stronger diurnal warming. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic can further moderate temperatures by advecting cooler marine air, while its inland penetration depends on prevailing gradient winds and boundary-layer mixing. These variables create genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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