Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s on August 18, 2026, driving the market's strong implied probability (over 70% combined) on the 72–75°F outcomes. Warmer-than-average August conditions, per Climate Prediction Center outlooks, support limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, while typical late-summer humidity keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast updates for any shifts in guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 18?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 18?
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
63°F or below
$55 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$55 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$65 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
5%
70-71°F
$7 Обс.
9%
72-73°F
$25 Обс.
28%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
42%
76-77°F
$224 Обс.
16%
78-79°F
$5 Обс.
5%
80-81°F
$55 Обс.
3%
82°F or higher
$50 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s on August 18, 2026, driving the market's strong implied probability (over 70% combined) on the 72–75°F outcomes. Warmer-than-average August conditions, per Climate Prediction Center outlooks, support limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, while typical late-summer humidity keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast updates for any shifts in guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$541Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s on August 18, 2026, driving the market's strong implied probability (over 70% combined) on the 72–75°F outcomes. Warmer-than-average August conditions, per Climate Prediction Center outlooks, support limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, while typical late-summer humidity keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast updates for any shifts in guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$541Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s on August 18, 2026, driving the market's strong implied probability (over 70% combined) on the 72–75°F outcomes. Warmer-than-average August conditions, per Climate Prediction Center outlooks, support limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, while typical late-summer humidity keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast updates for any shifts in guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання