Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daily maximum of 94–97°F for Miami on August 19 under sunny, hot conditions with heat indices near 110°F, directly supporting the market's leading 96–97°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability. This aligns with an ongoing late-summer heat pattern, including a recent 96°F reading that broke a 1909 daily record, amid typical August climatology of 89–91°F averages and minimal steering influences from tropical systems or cold fronts. Model consensus shows limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling potential, keeping upper-90s readings the most probable while capping chances for 98°F+ or sub-94°F outcomes. Updated NHC and local guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on August 19?
96-97°F 53%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 3%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
53%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 53%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 3%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
53%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daily maximum of 94–97°F for Miami on August 19 under sunny, hot conditions with heat indices near 110°F, directly supporting the market's leading 96–97°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability. This aligns with an ongoing late-summer heat pattern, including a recent 96°F reading that broke a 1909 daily record, amid typical August climatology of 89–91°F averages and minimal steering influences from tropical systems or cold fronts. Model consensus shows limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling potential, keeping upper-90s readings the most probable while capping chances for 98°F+ or sub-94°F outcomes. Updated NHC and local guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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