Marine layer moderation and post-heat-wave cooling are anchoring trader expectations for a downtown Los Angeles high near 80 °F on August 21. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has kept coastal and basin temperatures well below inland peaks, with National Weather Service guidance showing highs around 78 °F for the immediate Los Angeles area in the current forecast period. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~77.5 % implied probability). Typical late-August climatology supports moderate coastal readings around 80–85 °F absent strong offshore winds or ridging, while recent model consensus shows limited warming potential before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
73°F or below
$190 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$37 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$530 Обс.
12%
78-79°F
$591 Обс.
28%
80-81°F
$1,912 Обс.
48%
82-83°F
$243 Обс.
11%
84-85°F
$220 Обс.
3%
86-87°F
$190 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$10 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$32 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$308 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer moderation and post-heat-wave cooling are anchoring trader expectations for a downtown Los Angeles high near 80 °F on August 21. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has kept coastal and basin temperatures well below inland peaks, with National Weather Service guidance showing highs around 78 °F for the immediate Los Angeles area in the current forecast period. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~77.5 % implied probability). Typical late-August climatology supports moderate coastal readings around 80–85 °F absent strong offshore winds or ridging, while recent model consensus shows limited warming potential before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,261Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer moderation and post-heat-wave cooling are anchoring trader expectations for a downtown Los Angeles high near 80 °F on August 21. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has kept coastal and basin temperatures well below inland peaks, with National Weather Service guidance showing highs around 78 °F for the immediate Los Angeles area in the current forecast period. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~77.5 % implied probability). Typical late-August climatology supports moderate coastal readings around 80–85 °F absent strong offshore winds or ridging, while recent model consensus shows limited warming potential before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,261Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer moderation and post-heat-wave cooling are anchoring trader expectations for a downtown Los Angeles high near 80 °F on August 21. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has kept coastal and basin temperatures well below inland peaks, with National Weather Service guidance showing highs around 78 °F for the immediate Los Angeles area in the current forecast period. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~77.5 % implied probability). Typical late-August climatology supports moderate coastal readings around 80–85 °F absent strong offshore winds or ridging, while recent model consensus shows limited warming potential before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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