Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
58-59°F 100.0%
49°F or below 1.0%
54-55°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$2,409 Обс.
$2,409 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
49°F or below 1.0%
54-55°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$2,409 Обс.
$2,409 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
$10 Обс.
No
50-51°F
$235 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$302 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$52 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$37 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$160 Обс.
Yes
60-61°F
$100 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$355 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$410 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$210 Обс.
No
68°F or higher
$538 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,409Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,409Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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